This report highlights the most noteworthy developments we expect in the energy storage industry this year. Prices: Both lithium-ion battery pack and energy storage system prices are expected to fall again in 2024.
Energy storage system costs stay above $300/kWh for a turnkey four-hour duration system. In 2022, rising raw material and component prices led to the first increase in energy storage system costs since BNEF started its ESS cost survey in 2017. Costs are expected to remain high in 2023 before dropping in 2024.
Commercial and industrial (C&I) ESS is experiencing a surge in growth, entering a phase of rapid development. The increase in installations for utility-scale ESS far outpaces that of other types. In the realm of residential energy storage, projections for new installations in 2024 stand at 11GW/20.9GWh, reflecting a modest 5% and 11% increase.
Costs are expected to remain high in 2023 before dropping in 2024. The energy storage system market doubles, despite higher costs. The global energy storage market will continue to grow despite higher energy storage costs, adding roughly 28GW/69GWh of energy storage by the end of 2023.
In the realm of residential energy storage, projections for new installations in 2024 stand at 11GW/20.9GWh, reflecting a modest 5% and 11% increase. With the decline in both power and natural gas prices, observations from 2023 installations suggest a diminishing sense of urgency for residential installations.
From July 2023 through summer 2024, battery cell pricing is expected to plummet by more than 60% due to a surge in electric vehicle (EV) adoption and grid expansion in China and the United States. From pv magazine USA