But a 2022 analysis by the McKinsey Battery Insights team projects that the entire lithium-ion (Li-ion) battery chain, from mining through recycling, could grow by over 30 percent annually from 2022 to 2030, when it would reach a value of more than $400 billion and a market size of 4.7 TWh. 1
The global market for Lithium-ion batteries is expanding rapidly. We take a closer look at new value chain solutions that can help meet the growing demand.
Battery energy storage systems (BESS) will have a CAGR of 30 percent, and the GWh required to power these applications in 2030 will be comparable to the GWh needed for all applications today. China could account for 45 percent of total Li-ion demand in 2025 and 40 percent in 2030—most battery-chain segments are already mature in that country.
According to a recent Transport & Environment (T&E) study, 100% of European demand for lithium-ion batteries will be produced in Europe by 2027, following an increase of several hundred GWh in production capacity there.
Global demand for Li-ion batteries is expected to soar over the next decade, with the number of GWh required increasing from about 700 GWh in 2022 to around 4.7 TWh by 2030 (Exhibit 1).
The global market for battery manufacturing is forecast to reach €450 billion euros by 2035, according to an Oliver Wyman analysis. This is 10 times its value in 2020. Amid this growth, the industry is in flux. Until now, it has been mainly based in Asia — the top 10 battery cell manufacturers worldwide are all from China, South Korea, or Japan.