Global electric vehicle (EV) battery prices could drop by almost another 50 per cent by 2026, according to Goldman Sachs Research, bringing with it the potential of price parity with internal combustion engine (ICE) cars.
Technology advances that have allowed electric vehicle battery makers to increase energy density, combined with a drop in green metal prices, will push battery prices lower than previously expected, according to Goldman Sachs Research.
The declining prices of raw materials and components have also been contributing factors. BloombergNEF's annual battery price survey confirms this trend, revealing that lithium-ion battery pack costs fell by 14% in 2023, reaching a record low of $139 per kWh.
Goldman Sachs’ researchers further predict that average battery prices could fall as far as $80/kWh by 2026, which would equate to a drop of almost 50 per cent from 2023 levels.
It says global average battery prices declined from $153 (all prices in USD) per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in 2022 to $149/kWh in 2023 and are projected to fall to $111 by the end of 2024.
Battery pack prices are now expected to fall by an average of 11% per year from 2023 to 2030, writes Nikhil Bhandari, co-head of Goldman Sachs Research’s Asia-Pacific Natural Resources and Clean Energy Research, in the team’s report.
